@Mark I've done alot of pulls since we got the new tower due to alot of radios found from using the gas booster and it seems like now the one calls max lvl is lower. Before the update if I made one calls the max lvls were always hi now low. I've had really good luck on the 15 calls though. It will be interesting to see your results thanx for your time
Unfortunately as far as I know and read on the forum threads such an analysis on a non-event weekend has not be collected so we won't be able to compare previous to recent.
Data that I have compiled from my guild mates from the past 2 weekend events most of the data (>90%) was from making 15 radio calls, only a few used the 1 radio call.
I too am excited to process the results only because it's data! We all kinda know what then end result will be LOL
Greetings! sorry for the delayed response; I've been away vacationing. I will tally up the results for June and post here... I will also restart the form tracker for July Edition in a new thread in lieu of the new update to game.
Although more data is needed; We all can agree, that the data suggests we observe: 2 - 2.5 % of pulling a Legendary survivor either using a 1 or 15 radio call. Additionally, check out the % of Rare pulls as shown, an astonishing 84% !! This is not surprising based on the screenshots and number of users whom posted in another thread.
Oh no no no. Based on you first comment, you can definitely not say that 1 call & 15 call gives the same result. Im sure you will find that the 1 radio call is not statistacally significant. 1 person of 44 managed to pull a Leg, which gives it the 2.5%.
If the next person pulled a leg for the 5 radio call, that would give it a 5% chance.
The 15 call is about right. As @eetu (I think) mentioned. The odds of each card pulling a leg has dropped, but within the 3 cards, the chances are the same, and based on data gathered elsewhere, that used to be 5-7.5% chance.
@blynknz the stats collected take into account the 3 cards per 15 radio pull. If someone managed to get 2 in a single pull, it is reflected in those numbers. That means that the per card chance at legendary is less than 1%.
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No, because each of the 3 cards is recorded. So each card is 2.5%, as a overall pull is higher. So the 840 figures is actually 280 calls. Each call getting 3 cards.
I wonder how some managed to pull common and uncommon survivors from a 15 call...
Yeah, there's no way to account for user input error, or just flat out making up results. Not sure anyone would, but that's the only problem with the form...there's no accountability or ability to follow up to gain any further info or allow people to modify their results if they make a mistake. I highly doubt there is enough "bad info" to taint the results, tho. That's the only benefit to having people post their results, although it's a much bigger pain to tabulate. With either method, we're still not sure people are giving ALL their data, which is pretty important. Cherry picking what data is contributed isn't really helpful.
I have 180 radios that i intend to spend on single radio calls. I'll keep a record of what I get in case you do this project again so that the most undesirable of options will have a little more data.
@mongo911, I'm not sure you why you would seperate it. There isn't a "true 100". Because you could do it, and I could do it and we would get different results. Every additional record makes %'s more accurate as it takes a way the randomness.
For example. a coin has 2 sides. So if I flip it twice, thats not really "true".
@Jenng@lazerou the form is offline. I will reopen another for July (just because the 1.10 came out in the middle of the collection last month); sometime today- keep an eye out for the thread.
@mongo911 I hear what you saying... As in all my previous sampling Im aiming for a collection size of nearly 1000, based on the parameters for a 95% confidence interval with a 3% margin of error, based the assumption on a population size of approximately 15,000,000 download/installs on google play and apple).
But bare in mind; I have an end date of June
For giggles I could combine the June and July collection together as a side comparison something I've been thinking about -- instead of having just a month analysis...
All, I'm in the process of beefing up the 1 radio call dataset; thank you all that connected with me to want to include more data For 1 radio call section... I've got nearly 300 more entries for the 1 radio call (you all rock)...
This is a special link for only 1 RADIO CALL data form. This is active for a limited time so please go ahead and sum it your 1 RADIO CALL data
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Thanks for the info
Unfortunately as far as I know and read on the forum threads such an analysis on a non-event weekend has not be collected so we won't be able to compare previous to recent.
Data that I have compiled from my guild mates from the past 2 weekend events most of the data (>90%) was from making 15 radio calls, only a few used the 1 radio call.
I too am excited to process the results only because it's data! We all kinda know what then end result will be LOL
Cheers mate
Mark
Will submit now though, I have a screenshot.
@Mark Can you share some results?
sorry for the delayed response; I've been away vacationing. I will tally up the results for June and post here... I will also restart the form tracker for July Edition in a new thread in lieu of the new update to game.
Thank you all again.
1 person of 44 managed to pull a Leg, which gives it the 2.5%.
If the next person pulled a leg for the 5 radio call, that would give it a 5% chance.
But pulling a legendary survivor is <5%
Nonetheless it's low
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2725 Deadly Missions Completed Prior to the End of The Deadly Era
Nightmare Club Member--All 14 Episodes of Story Complete on Nightmare Mode (lvl 19 survivors)
So the 840 figures is actually 280 calls. Each call getting 3 cards.
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Great work @Mark !!! So glad to see the results!
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The first 100 calls...
Then the 80 calls...
It shows the true 100...
Any guess who might " now " be on my list, ( in 2017 )
Also, how do you quote someone, like you did with my post (@lazerou). When I try it just puts a "null" there instead.
Ps. I'm new here
There isn't a "true 100". Because you could do it, and I could do it and we would get different results.
Every additional record makes %'s more accurate as it takes a way the randomness.
For example. a coin has 2 sides. So if I flip it twice, thats not really "true".
The actual real quality would be based on a thousand phones...
Any guess who might " now " be on my list, ( in 2017 )
@mongo911
I hear what you saying... As in all my previous sampling Im aiming for a collection size of nearly 1000, based on the parameters for a 95% confidence interval with a 3% margin of error, based the assumption on a population size of approximately 15,000,000 download/installs on google play and apple).
But bare in mind; I have an end date of June
For giggles I could combine the June and July collection together as a side comparison something I've been thinking about -- instead of having just a month analysis...
All,
I'm in the process of beefing up the 1 radio call dataset; thank you all that connected with me to want to include more data For 1 radio call section... I've got nearly 300 more entries for the 1 radio call (you all rock)...
This is a special link for only 1 RADIO CALL data form. This is active for a limited time so please go ahead and sum it your 1 RADIO CALL data
https://fs12.formsite.com/MarkCaller/form4/index.html