In a way, all of us has an El Guapo to face. For some, shyness might be their El Guapo. For others, a lack of education might be their El Guapo. For us, El Guapo is a big, dangerous man who wants to kill us.
@Putchuco and @jimmorrison369 have been analyzing the info for the odds of any call or all calls being carol. I don't have the patience to look into all that info (and is why they are working on it and I've kept quiet on it).
21% in general is 1 in 5. But breaking down how that 21% actually works out token wise the odds of getting carol at 32 is slightly higher than 1 in 6.
Again my math is simple math, Putchuco and Jimmorrison369 can get into great detail of exact specific odds. 40 radio's on average should give you at minimum 32 tokens making them about .8 token per radio (at minimum on average)
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2 calls, choice of 3 rare reg class, then choice of 32 glen, 32 carol, or another chump rare. Anyone ever notice how often the hero tokens present themselvesin the same roll? Hero tokens are so darn rare, yet they manage to appear at the same time so often...
In short, those odds are way too low for players like me who need to promote Carol to pink elite after having just promoted her to legendary a week ago. Thousands of tokens are required, and if the average is less than one Carol token per radio, it’s not possible even if I were to buy every radio bundle in sight.
@Kaz i know this isn’t your doing specifically, but I still can’t fathom why the developers would present impossible situations to end-gamers who are big spenders. It’s not even tempting to spend money thanks to this analysis. I really think there should be some compromise to tempt more of us to spend money. Either give us Carol’s hero week calls with double tokens, or only require one trait be promoted for those who already have her legendary/pink.
Initial 4 calls were way better than 4 after that but still not bad. I'm. 132 tokens short of getting her legendary.
I will wait with calls now and see how many tokens I can get from other game modes and hopefully won't have to make any more calls hahah, but doubt it. Will see.
Correct order of calls made starts from the bottom and goes upwards.
@dlich you don’t take into account, that you roll three cards.
The odds described are for one.
this is true but the odds don't stack. Each "roll" is independant.
If the odds of getting Carol 32 on a roll is 17.64% and the odds of 1 in 6 rolls is 16.67% then on average she should appear 1 out of every 6 rolls (or one out of every 2 calls ie 40 radio's)
Since you get 3 cards and can only keep one, what are the odds of getting at least 32 Carol?
In a way, all of us has an El Guapo to face. For some, shyness might be their El Guapo. For others, a lack of education might be their El Guapo. For us, El Guapo is a big, dangerous man who wants to kill us.
Rare Shooter, Epic Scout, 32 Jesus...32 Jesus Rare Hunter, 32 Maggie, 128 Carol...128 Carol Rare Bruiser, Rare Hunter, Rare Shooter...Rare Bruiser Rare Bruiser, 32 Carol, Rare Hunter...32 Carol 32 Carol, Rare Shooter, Rare Shooter, 32 Carol 32 Gabriel, 32 Jesus, Rare Hunter...32 Gabriel 128 Carol, Rare Bruiser, Rare Bruiser...128 Carol
Enough to get her to Legendary. Would love to get her to Elite, but I doubt I'd be able to do so.
"I always say, if you must mount the gallows, give a jest to the crowd, a coin to the hangman, and make the drop with a smile on your lips." -Birgitte Silverbow, The Fires of Heaven, The Wheel of Time
"Death is lighter than a feather. Duty, heavier than a mountain." - al'Lan Mandragoran, The Great Hunt, The Wheel of Time
Needed a little over 500 to get her to pink. 10 calls total.
128 x 3 = 384
32 x 4 = 128
512 total got her to pink.
All but 3 calls produced Carol tokens. Out of those 32 Negan and the rest greenies.
It was a good run. Whether worth it or not remains to be seen. Good luck all!
Got her too but... the Carol booster (damage health etc..) it will be permanent or only for that event?
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Comments
21% in general is 1 in 5. But breaking down how that 21% actually works out token wise the odds of getting carol at 32 is slightly higher than 1 in 6.
Again my math is simple math, Putchuco and Jimmorrison369 can get into great detail of exact specific odds. 40 radio's on average should give you at minimum 32 tokens making them about .8 token per radio (at minimum on average)
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Freemium... the "mium" is latin for 'not really'
3x 128
3x 32
1x 128 Jesus
1 legendary Scout
2 greens
•32 Carol tokens
•32 Carol tokens
•128 Carol tokens
I need 1000 to promote her pink star
> I need 1000 to promote her pink star
>
> I try not to think about Carol's pink star.
It is hard not think about that
@Kaz i know this isn’t your doing specifically, but I still can’t fathom why the developers would present impossible situations to end-gamers who are big spenders. It’s not even tempting to spend money thanks to this analysis. I really think there should be some compromise to tempt more of us to spend money. Either give us Carol’s hero week calls with double tokens, or only require one trait be promoted for those who already have her legendary/pink.
544 - Daryl Tokens
256 - Glenn tokens
128 - Tara Tokens
224 - Carol tokens - Carol went 5 star and I get the bonus
96 - Sasha tokens
32- Merle tokens
Initial 4 calls were way better than 4 after that but still not bad. I'm. 132 tokens short of getting her legendary.
I will wait with calls now and see how many tokens I can get from other game modes and hopefully won't have to make any more calls hahah, but doubt it. Will see.
Correct order of calls made starts from the bottom and goes upwards.
Just 32 tokens... What a shame...
Carol+ no carol*carol+ no carol*no carol*carol=
.21+.79*.21+.79^2*.21=
.21+.166+.131=
~50%
Sound right?
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Freemium... the "mium" is latin for 'not really'
Rare Shooter, Epic Scout, 32 Jesus...32 Jesus
Rare Hunter, 32 Maggie, 128 Carol...128 Carol
Rare Bruiser, Rare Hunter, Rare Shooter...Rare Bruiser
Rare Bruiser, 32 Carol, Rare Hunter...32 Carol
32 Carol, Rare Shooter, Rare Shooter, 32 Carol
32 Gabriel, 32 Jesus, Rare Hunter...32 Gabriel
128 Carol, Rare Bruiser, Rare Bruiser...128 Carol
Enough to get her to Legendary. Would love to get her to Elite, but I doubt I'd be able to do so.
"Death is lighter than a feather. Duty, heavier than a mountain." - al'Lan Mandragoran, The Great Hunt, The Wheel of Time
128 x 3 = 384
32 x 4 = 128
512 total got her to pink.
All but 3 calls produced Carol tokens. Out of those 32 Negan and the rest greenies.
It was a good run. Whether worth it or not remains to be seen. Good luck all!
> If you get 256 Carol tokens that's a .21% chance (1% for 256 x 21% for carol)
Looks like I won the lottery!
Edit: this is my first and only call.
Remember to use your charge abilities
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> Got her too but... the Carol booster (damage health etc..) it will be permanent or only for that event?
Not permanent. Only until 5th March