Badge crafting odds - and what we should take away from it

PutchucoPutchuco Member Posts: 1,289
I have put together a hopefully comprehensive overview of the most significant badge crafting odds:

(UPDATED)



The very first thing that might catch your eye:
- if you use anything less than a full set of Leg components in hopes of getting a legendary badge,
your chances drop SIGNIFICANTLY!
- crafting with lower level fragments, but mid-level components might help boosting your chances.

Anything else that jumps out at you?



Thx to all who have contributed to the data!

EDIT: fixed a small mistake on Com/R/R/R/R chances
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Comments

  • iamedgeiamedge Member Posts: 67
    All legendary pieces give 50% chance of legendary badge? I don't agree at all with that. I've done so probably 10 times and have 100% epic rate
  • PutchucoPutchuco Member Posts: 1,289
    @iamedge I hear ya, but unfortunately those are the odds as listed in the game :disappointed:
    If you would like to join a drama-free and fun group of enthusiasts,
    contact us via email at [email protected]
    Papacas
  • msapaevmsapaev Member Posts: 480
    the first row makes me cry...
    DrUnpleasanttheldssdlJadenPapacas
  • PutchucoPutchuco Member Posts: 1,289
    edited February 2018
    And how many times have we used an epic component thinking 'ah, it won't be that much worse'....

    Guess what, it cuts the chances for a leg badge in half :tired_face:
    If you would like to join a drama-free and fun group of enthusiasts,
    contact us via email at [email protected]
    DrUnpleasanttheldssdlJadenPapacas
  • Kick_assKick_ass Member Posts: 513
    @Putchuco really helpful. I just mixed my components last night and got junk. Thanks
    Maverick’s Core Leader and / OG Co-Leader
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    Stolen from Dlich
    Putchuco
  • WellyLugaWellyLuga Member Posts: 2,662
    edited February 2018
    I'm so glad I've seen that the odds drop so much for using one epic component with a set of legendary. I'll never be doing that again! I assumed that the odds were the same since the rarity range was the same. Now I know why all of them came out epic!
    Putchuco
  • Japes87Japes87 Member Posts: 1,399
    Hey @Putchuco thank you for putting this together man . Very helpful for crafting and makes me glad I have never mixed rarities when crafting
  • DrUnpleasantDrUnpleasant Member Posts: 573
    edited February 2018
    I see absolutely no justification why crafting chances should get worse the higher you go up the ranks.

    Even if all 5* is 50% (which, I concur has certainly not been my experience, or that of my guildies before the recent event) then why should that be lower than the Epic chance for all Epic components, or Rare for all Rare? The difficulty is already built into the drop rate ffs!

    If anything, Legendary should have a higher % chance because there's no chance of a higher tier reward.

    NezoPutchucotheldssdlR2runfast
  • PutchucoPutchuco Member Posts: 1,289
    edited March 2018
    Here's a quick overview of how badge crafting odds (per in-game %) compares to the first Badge Crafting Event on 19feb.

    - Left Side: possible combinations of components (skipped some useless combos like Leg Frag + UnC components)
    - Middle: Crafting odds per in-game info
    - Right: observed odds during event

    Note:
    - some crafting numbers are too low to draw any conclusions from them, ie anything less than 10x crafts is not very telling (# Crafts in Red)
    - Observed results during the event that were the same as the predicted numbers are marked in grey, better than predicted (ie increased for event) are marked in green. Light green: small increase, dark green: large increase


    If you would like to join a drama-free and fun group of enthusiasts,
    contact us via email at [email protected]
    ShadowaceAz
  • ShadowaceAzShadowaceAz Member Posts: 3,402
    So has the event officially begun?
    Descensus in cuniculi cavum
    Vir prudens non contra ventum mingit
    Concordia

  • PutchucoPutchuco Member Posts: 1,289
    Yes, it has, i can see the rates and results in-game.
    If you would like to join a drama-free and fun group of enthusiasts,
    contact us via email at [email protected]
  • ShadowaceAzShadowaceAz Member Posts: 3,402
    Do you wish to know our inputs and results?
    Descensus in cuniculi cavum
    Vir prudens non contra ventum mingit
    Concordia

  • PutchucoPutchuco Member Posts: 1,289

    Do you wish to know our inputs and results?

    Yes, that would be great!
    Would you happen to have them in a spreadsheet format?
    If you would like to join a drama-free and fun group of enthusiasts,
    contact us via email at [email protected]
  • ScowleyScowley Member Posts: 421
    edited April 2018
    > @Putchuco said:
    > Yes, it has, i can see the rates and results in-game.

    @Kaz Did I dream it or could we see the chances before? I only ask as I cannot find them anymore.
    Elder of guild 'Aloha Snackbar'
  • OneLessTitanOneLessTitan Member Posts: 1,273
    Sorry for no spreadsheet format @Putchuco , but here's what I've crafted thus far:
    All LEG: 7 LEG, 2 Epic
    ALL EPIC: 8 Rare, 27 Epic, 1 LEG
    3* Frag, Epic ING: 16 Rare, 12 Epic, 1 Leg
    All Rare: 4 Uncommon, 15 Rare, 5 Epic
    2* Frag, Rare ING: 5 Common, 13 Uncommon, 15 Rare, 9 Epic
    MischaMadPuppy
  • thisdoesfinethisdoesfine Member Posts: 360
    @Putchuco here's my initial craft for today's event
  • RufusRocks14RufusRocks14 Member Posts: 9
    Wow. thanks.

    Any way the dev's can make is so we can sell junk 1* parts, or combine them to higher *'s ?


    --
    OurWorld: ScottMag14
    OW Group: Ground Z.E.R.O. 
    Timboski
  • Nick37Nick37 Member Posts: 477
    Top row should read : epic 90% Legendary 10%

    I have crafted exactly 10 all legendary components and got 9 epic badges :angry:
  • CBgaming1969CBgaming1969 Member Posts: 1,359
    Not a s single legendary badge this time:(* a few epics and some rare most uncommon and common...

    Lot better luck last event....
  • The_JerThe_Jer Member Posts: 293
    While I did not capture the image, I got a leg badge from all uncommon compnents/fragment. I think I was too shocked!
  • ScowleyScowley Member Posts: 421
    > @Scowley said:
    > > @Putchuco said:
    > > Yes, it has, i can see the rates and results in-game.
    >
    > @Kaz Did I dream it or could we see the chances before? I only ask as I cannot find them anymore.

    Ah 1Ris post above shows the info button I was thinking about. I didn't remember that I had to have the fragment and components added before it would appear. Panic over ;)
    Elder of guild 'Aloha Snackbar'
    SCBMA
  • The_JerThe_Jer Member Posts: 293
    My bad, must of had one of the items at higher level. Kind of blends together at some point. Though they were all uncommon cause I was burning thru the lower level stuff.
  • MabikiMabiki Member Posts: 1,732
    I saved up all my common and uncommon components after the last time they ran this event, though I continued to craft rare and above.

    I was able to make 56 badges from the ones I saved, including an epic or two and a handful of rares. I also replaced all the common badges in my inventory with uncommon or better (excluding the ones that are currently equipped).

    I'm loving this event. While I didn't make any giant leaps, I definitely improved my overall badge setup.
    DodkongTJS
  • PutchucoPutchuco Member Posts: 1,289
    If someone wants to send me a list of the components they used with the badge trait they received, I would let them in on any findings of ‚crafting recipes‘ :smile:
    If you would like to join a drama-free and fun group of enthusiasts,
    contact us via email at [email protected]
  • ShadowaceAzShadowaceAz Member Posts: 3,402
    Craft # Fragment Component Component Component Component Result
    1 Common Common Common Common Common Common Damage +
    2 Common Common Common Common Common Rare Health +422
    3 Common Common Common Common Common Rare DR +8%
    4 Common Common Common Common Common Uncommon Health +276
    5 Common Common Common Common Common Uncommon DR +5%
    6 Common Common Common Common Common Common Damage +82
    7 Common Common Common Common Common Common Health +5%
    8 Common Common Common Common Common Common Health +5%
    9 Common Common Common Common Common Common Health +165
    10 Common Common Common Common Common Common CD +128
    11 Common Common Common Common Common Uncommon Health +297
    12 Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Dam +116
    13 Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon CC +6%
    14 Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Dam +165
    15 Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Dam +6%
    16 Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Dam +5%
    17 Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Rare CC +9%
    18 Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Dam +5%
    19 Uncommon Common Common Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Health +8%
    20 Uncommon Common Common Common Common Uncommon Dam +137
    21 Uncommon Common Common Uncommon Uncommon Uncommon Dam +113
    22 Uncommon Common Common Uncommon Uncommon Rare CD +502
    23 Uncommon Common Common Uncommon Uncommon Common CD +5%
    24 Uncommon Common Common Uncommon Uncommon Rare Dam +12%
    25 Rare Rare Rare Rare Rare Uncommon Dam +6%
    Descensus in cuniculi cavum
    Vir prudens non contra ventum mingit
    Concordia

    romeo
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