Radio Pulls - Survivor Tracker: Data Collection - June 2016 Edition ( RESULTS POSTED)!!!
Mark
Member Posts: 253
Greetings Survivor!
This is an effort to collect data and provide analysis on an "off survivor event". I will compile this dataset for the Month of June and up until the next Survivor Event. Please help do some data collection.
Radio Pulls - Survivor Tracker
PURPOSE
Understand the %s of the new radio system.
Collect data and provide analysis for a non-event.
SOME IMPORTANT THINGS TO NOTE
I will not include anything posted on this thread which is not entered into the Tracker Form.
Please don't post or complain about how you didn't get any good survivors.
If you have a specific question or want to bump, that is fine.
This thread is strictly for data collection only, use the link and submit your pulls - Easy Peasy.
RESULTS
Let me first begin by saying thank you to all that contributed to the data collecting and great teamwork / feedback during the process.
Please keep in mind, the data results below is an approximation as we are trying to figure out probabilities using bottom up technique and the challenges of which comes with.
I will begin by showing a trend analysis of users that input data over the course of the month
Surely there was excitement on when the radio pulls revision was announced, as shown in the early month of June, then begin to tapered off once the 1.10 update was being shared (tokens/survivors/radios etc,..). Folks began to hold onto their radios until the 1.10 release or until epic/leg event is announced.
Among the data collected, the spread of User Player Levels is shown.
To say the least, we have some serious gamers here
30+ player levels
Among the data collected, The number of types of Radio Calls was assessed..
93% of users, choose to use 15 radio calls, followed by 5% of users that choose 1 radio calls.
For the following comparisons please note: For the 1 radio call the %s are based on 44 data input; for the 5 radio call the %s are based on 20 radio input; and for the 15 radio call the %s are based on 840 data input. Ideally, I'd like to see 300 data input for each category but we make best of what we have.
The Survivor Rarity Based on Radio Calls - Comparison.
Although more data is needed; the data suggests we observe: 2 - 2.5 % of pulling a Legendary survivor; more confidence with 15 radio call since the data input was large but for 1 and 5 radio calls the data is sparse and will need to gather more inputs. Additionally, check out the % of Rare pulls as shown, an astonishing 84% !! This is not surprising based on the screenshots and number of users whom posted in another thread.
The Survivor Class Based on Radio Calls - Comparison.
Looking across the board 1-5-15 radio calls, the odds of pulling a certain type of survivor class is essentially similar on average ~17% chance. I don't foresee an advantage of using 1 call vs 15 call to better your %.. basically, using a 15 radio call in this scenario just gives you another chance at pulling a survivor class, but at the same % odds. I believe this has been mentioned already by others.
The Survivor Max Level Based on Radio Calls - Comparison.
Although more data is needed; the trend we can observe here is- for a 1 radio call greater odds to get a 14-16 max level survivor, for a 5 radio call greater odds to get a 15-17 max level survivor, for a 15 radio call greater odds to get a 16-18 max level survivor.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
We need your help. Let's Beef up the 1 Radio Call Data
This Link will direct you to a 1 Radio Call only Data collection form; quick and easy condensed form. Once we reach nearly 1000 entries I will update OP with newly 1 Radio Call data
1 RADIO CALL FORM LINK
This is an effort to collect data and provide analysis on an "off survivor event". I will compile this dataset for the Month of June and up until the next Survivor Event. Please help do some data collection.
Radio Pulls - Survivor Tracker
PURPOSE
Understand the %s of the new radio system.
Collect data and provide analysis for a non-event.
SOME IMPORTANT THINGS TO NOTE
I will not include anything posted on this thread which is not entered into the Tracker Form.
Please don't post or complain about how you didn't get any good survivors.
If you have a specific question or want to bump, that is fine.
This thread is strictly for data collection only, use the link and submit your pulls - Easy Peasy.
RESULTS
Let me first begin by saying thank you to all that contributed to the data collecting and great teamwork / feedback during the process.
Please keep in mind, the data results below is an approximation as we are trying to figure out probabilities using bottom up technique and the challenges of which comes with.
I will begin by showing a trend analysis of users that input data over the course of the month
Surely there was excitement on when the radio pulls revision was announced, as shown in the early month of June, then begin to tapered off once the 1.10 update was being shared (tokens/survivors/radios etc,..). Folks began to hold onto their radios until the 1.10 release or until epic/leg event is announced.
Among the data collected, the spread of User Player Levels is shown.
To say the least, we have some serious gamers here
30+ player levelsAmong the data collected, The number of types of Radio Calls was assessed..
93% of users, choose to use 15 radio calls, followed by 5% of users that choose 1 radio calls.
For the following comparisons please note: For the 1 radio call the %s are based on 44 data input; for the 5 radio call the %s are based on 20 radio input; and for the 15 radio call the %s are based on 840 data input. Ideally, I'd like to see 300 data input for each category but we make best of what we have.
The Survivor Rarity Based on Radio Calls - Comparison.
Although more data is needed; the data suggests we observe: 2 - 2.5 % of pulling a Legendary survivor; more confidence with 15 radio call since the data input was large but for 1 and 5 radio calls the data is sparse and will need to gather more inputs. Additionally, check out the % of Rare pulls as shown, an astonishing 84% !! This is not surprising based on the screenshots and number of users whom posted in another thread.
The Survivor Class Based on Radio Calls - Comparison.
Looking across the board 1-5-15 radio calls, the odds of pulling a certain type of survivor class is essentially similar on average ~17% chance. I don't foresee an advantage of using 1 call vs 15 call to better your %.. basically, using a 15 radio call in this scenario just gives you another chance at pulling a survivor class, but at the same % odds. I believe this has been mentioned already by others.
The Survivor Max Level Based on Radio Calls - Comparison.
Although more data is needed; the trend we can observe here is- for a 1 radio call greater odds to get a 14-16 max level survivor, for a 5 radio call greater odds to get a 15-17 max level survivor, for a 15 radio call greater odds to get a 16-18 max level survivor.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
We need your help. Let's Beef up the 1 Radio Call Data
This Link will direct you to a 1 Radio Call only Data collection form; quick and easy condensed form. Once we reach nearly 1000 entries I will update OP with newly 1 Radio Call data
1 RADIO CALL FORM LINK
16
Comments
YouTube Channel
Message me on the forums or on Line (ID: jayztwdnml) if you're interested in joining the Mavericks family of guilds.
Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCGSePrANMyf_S_YKJyfJodg
Strategy compendium: https://forums.nextgames.com/walkingdead/discussion/41787/jayzs-nml-strategy-compendium
Thanks for all the help on this.
Message me on the forums or on Line (ID: jayztwdnml) if you're interested in joining the Mavericks family of guilds.
Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCGSePrANMyf_S_YKJyfJodg
Strategy compendium: https://forums.nextgames.com/walkingdead/discussion/41787/jayzs-nml-strategy-compendium
Tammy
So far as you can see, too early for anything yet
common, uncommon, rare, epic and legendary
NOT: uncommon, common, rare, epic and legendary
lol thanks
Cheers
Mark
15 call
The selection for max survivor level starts with 14, but I got one with max 13
What to do?
Links to threads that are useful for beginners (and in some cases even for veterans)
Happy collecting everyone
thanks, please if you haven't already done so, please click on the link in the OP and enter in your pulls, its quick and easy and will go into a database for us all. Cheers mate - Mark
I am saving my radios for event, but I will do one pull now and fill your form!
UPD. Did one and all rare 18,17,18. Filled your form.
But will save radios for now, coz I have pretty good A-team.
1 epic hunter max level 19 and rest are all rare.
Filled your form.